On the Ordering of Probability Forecasts

dc.contributor.author	Krämer, Walter	de
dc.date.accessioned	2004-12-06T18:49:57Z
dc.date.available	2004-12-06T18:49:57Z
dc.date.issued	2002	de
dc.description.abstract	The paper explores the relationship between various orderings among probability forecasts that have been suggested in the literature. It is shown that well calibrated forecasters are in general not comparable according to the domination ordering suggested by Vardeman and Meeden (1983), that the orderings based on ROC-curves and Gini-curves are identical, and that the domination ordering in conjunction with semicalibration implies the rest.	en
dc.format.extent	220174 bytes
dc.format.extent	92568 bytes
dc.format.mimetype	application/pdf
dc.format.mimetype	application/postscript
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/2003/5214
dc.identifier.uri	http://dx.doi.org/10.17877/DE290R-12198
dc.language.iso	en	de
dc.publisher	Universitätsbibliothek Dortmund	de
dc.subject	probability forecasts	en
dc.subject	calibration	en
dc.subject	refinement	en
dc.subject	domination	en
dc.subject.ddc	310	de
dc.title	On the Ordering of Probability Forecasts	en
dc.type	Text	de
dc.type.publicationtype	report	en
dcterms.accessRights	open access

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