Clustering techniques for the detection of Business Cycles

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Date

1999

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Publisher

Universitätsbibliothek Dortmund

Abstract

In this paper business cycles are considered as a multivariate phenomenon and not as a univariate one determined e.g. by the GNP. The subject is to look for the number of phases of a business cycle, which can be motivated by the number of clusters in a given dataset of macro-economic variables. Different approaches to distances in the data are tried in a fuzzy cluster analysis to pursue this goal.

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Keywords

business cycles, cluster analysis, fuzzy clustering

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