On quadratic expansions of log likelihoods and a general asymptotic linearity result

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2013-09-17

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Irrespective of the statistical model under study, the derivation of limits, in the Le Cam sense, of sequences of local experiments (see [7]-[10]) often follows along very similar lines, essentially involving differentiability in quadratic mean of square roots of (conditional) densities. This chapter establishes two abstract and very general results providing sufficient and nearly necessary conditions for (i) the existence of a quadratic expansion, and (ii) the asymptotic linearity of local log-likelihood ratios (asymptotic linearity is needed, for instance, when unspecified model parameters are to be replaced, in some statistic of interest, with some preliminary estimator). Such results have been established, for locally asymptotically normal (LAN) models involving independent and identically distributed observations, by, e.g., [1], [11] and [12]. Similar results are provided here for models exhibiting serial dependencies which, so far, have been treated on a case-by-case basis (see [4] and [5] for typical examples) and, in general, under stronger regularity assumptions. Unlike their i.i.d. counterparts, our results extend beyond the context of LAN experiments, so that non-stationary unit-root time series and cointegration models, for instance, also can be handled (see [6]).

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