Risk perception of climate change: Empirical evidence for Germany
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Date
2016
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Abstract
The perception of risks resulting from climate change is a key factor in motivating
individual adaptation and prevention behavior, as well as for the support of climate
policy measures. Using a generalized ordered logit approach and drawing on a
unique data set originating from two surveys conducted in 2012 and 2014, each among
more than 6,000 German households, we analyze the determinants of individual risk
perception associated with three kinds of natural hazards: heat waves, storms, and
floods. Our focus is on the role of objective risk measures and experience with these
natural hazards, whose frequency is likely to be affected by climate change. In line
with the received literature, the results suggest that personal experience with adverse
events and, even more importantly, personal damage therefrom are strong drivers of
individual risk perception.
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Keywords
damage experience, generalized ordered logit, natural hazards